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 Politics Archive 2015






Electability is not an important factor for likely GOP Iowa Caucus goers
by Nathan'ette Burdine: February 8, 2015
 


A new Iowa poll shows that electability is not an important factor for likely GOP Iowa Caucus goers.

Based on the poll results, 60% of respondents said that a candidate’s electability is not important compared to 36% of respondents who said that they want a candidate who can win the 2016 Presidential election.

Iowa has the first primary elections and it is used as a litmus test to determine which candidates have the best chance of winning the White House.

And at the center of the Republican Party’s debate is if an establishment candidate or an anti-establishment candidate has the best chance of being elected the next President of the United States.

Among likely Iowa Caucus goers, 51% want a candidate without any ties to D.C. compared to 43% who want a candidate with D.C. connections.

Republicans have a history of choosing establishment candidates to represent the party during the presidential elections.

From 1980-2012, three of the six establishment candidates, who were not incumbent presidents, won the White house; whereas one of the six establishment candidates, who were not incumbent presidents, won the Iowa caucuses, the party’s nominations, and the presidential elections.

The one who won the Iowa caucuses, the party’s nominations, and the presidential elections was Former President George W. Bush Jr.

Another Bush, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, is in the race and he hopes to become the 45th President of the United States.

Bush has been dubbed the frontrunner and the establishment candidate. But unlike his brother, Jeb Bush is not fairing too well in the Iowa polls.

With Mitt Romney out of the race, Bush is in fifth place with 9% of the vote. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who likely GOP Iowa caucus voters say is their first choice for an establishment candidate, is in first place with 16% of the vote.

Sen. Rand Paul, who likely GOP Iowa caucus voters say is their first choice for an anti-establishment candidate, comes in second at 15%.

Although Walker is a favorite as an establishment candidate, he and Paul are not considered establishment in the same way as Bush is.

Bush’s family connections make him part of the D.C. elite. His father and brother’s presidential legacies have resulted in some questioning if a vote for Jeb Bush will be a vote for another Bush 41 and Bush 43 presidencies, which many are not willing to repeat.

Jeb Bush, however, doesn’t need to worry. His father and brother’s legacies will most likely not prevent him from becoming the 2016 Republican Party Presidential Nominee.

The one thing the Republican Party is consistent with is choosing an establishment candidate to be the party's presidential nominee.
 
And in this case, that person will be Jeb Bush.




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